DROPOUT INTENTION IN MATHEMATICS: AN APPLICATION OF CUMULATIVE LINK MIXED ODELS IN A UNIVERSITY CONTEXT.

University dropout is a global, complex, and multifactorial phenomenon that encompasses academic, social, economic, and institutional dimensions. This study analyzes the factors influencing the intention to drop out among students enrolled in the Bachelor's programs in Mathematics and Mathematics Te...

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Publicado en:Scientific Culture Vol. 11; no. 3, Part 1; pp. 846 - 855
Autores principales: Cubilla-Montilla, Mitzi, Trujillo, Julio, Cosme, Noriel
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: University of the Aegean 2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: 2025
      vid: 11
      iid: 3, Part 1
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        atl: DROPOUT INTENTION IN MATHEMATICS: AN APPLICATION OF CUMULATIVE LINK MIXED ODELS IN A UNIVERSITY CONTEXT.
      aug:
        au:
          Cubilla-Montilla, Mitzi
          Trujillo, Julio
          Cosme, Noriel
        affil:
          Departamento de Estadística, Facultad de Ciencias Naturales, Exactas y Tecnología, Universidad de Panamá, Panamá
          Sistema Nacional de Investigación de Panamá (SNI), Secretaría Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación (SENACYT), Panamá
          Departamento de Matemática, Facultad de Ciencias Naturales, Exactas y Tecnología, Universidad de Panamá, Panamá
          Programa de Doctorado en Matemática Aplicada, Facultad Regional Multidisciplinaria de Chontales, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Nicaragua, Managua 14172, Nicaragua
          Centro de Investigación de Operaciones para el Desarrollo, la Ciencia y la Tecnología, Universidad de Panamá, Panamá
      su:
        College dropouts
        Socioeconomic factors
        Mathematics education
        Institutional theory (Sociology)
        Statistical models
        School dropout prevention
        Abandonment (Psychology)
        Academic achievement
      sug:
        subj:
          College dropouts
          Socioeconomic factors
          Mathematics education
          Institutional theory (Sociology)
          Statistical models
          School dropout prevention
          Abandonment (Psychology)
          Academic achievement
      keyword:
        Higher Education
        Social Factors
        Socioeconomic and Cultural Conditions
        Student
        Student Retention
        University Dropout
      ab: University dropout is a global, complex, and multifactorial phenomenon that encompasses academic, social, economic, and institutional dimensions. This study analyzes the factors influencing the intention to drop out among students enrolled in the Bachelor's programs in Mathematics and Mathematics Teaching at the University of Panama, within the framework of its institutional conditions. A robust statistical approach is employed through Cumulative Link Mixed Models, which are suitable for ordinal variables and capable of incorporating random effects. The results reveal that economic dependence and native origin are significantly associated with higher levels of dropout intention, whereas variables such as gender, availability of financial resources, and family environment show no significant effects. The model thresholds indicate a cumulative progression in dropout probability. The random component explains a limited proportion of the variability (ICC = 2.4%), suggesting that group differences are minor compared to individual effects. Furthermore, differentiated patterns are identified in the perception of factors according to socioeconomic conditions, highlighting self-sufficient native students as a vulnerable group. These findings provide empirical evidence to inform targeted institutional strategies for improving student retention.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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          year: 2025
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