Identification and Inference in First-Price Auctions with Risk-Averse Bidders and Selective Entry.

We study identification and inference in first-price auctions with risk-averse bidders and selective entry, building on a flexible framework we call the Affiliated Signal with Risk Aversion (AS-RA) model. Assuming exogenous variation in either the number of potential bidders (N) or a continuous inst...

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Publicado en:Review of Economic Studies Vol. 93; no. 1; pp. 366 - 404
Autores principales: Chen, Xiaohong, Gentry, Matthew, Li, Tong, Lu, Jingfeng
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Jan2026
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Jan2026
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      pub: Oxford University Press / USA
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        10.1093/restud/rdaf016
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        atl: Identification and Inference in First-Price Auctions with Risk-Averse Bidders and Selective Entry.
      aug:
        au:
          Chen, Xiaohong
          Gentry, Matthew
          Li, Tong
          Lu, Jingfeng
        affil:
          Department of Economics, Yale University, USA
          Department of Economics, Florida State University, USA
          Department of Economics, Vanderbilt University, USA
          Department of Economics, National University of Singapore, Singapore
      su:
        Inference (Logic)
        Auctions
        Bidders
        Mathematical programming
        Nonparametric estimation
        Bidding strategies
      sug:
        subj:
          Inference (Logic)
          Auctions
          Bidders
          Mathematical programming
          Nonparametric estimation
          Bidding strategies
      keyword:
        Approximate profile likelihood-ratio
        Bayes credible sets
        Boundary condition
        Entry
        Flexible parametric form
        Frequentist confidence sets
        Identification
        MPEC
        Parameter-dependent support
        Risk aversion
        Set inference
        Approximate profile likelihood-ratio
        Bayes credible sets
        Boundary condition
        Entry
        Flexible parametric form
        Frequentist confidence sets
        Identification
        MPEC
        Parameter-dependent support
        Risk aversion
        Set inference
      ab: We study identification and inference in first-price auctions with risk-averse bidders and selective entry, building on a flexible framework we call the Affiliated Signal with Risk Aversion (AS-RA) model. Assuming exogenous variation in either the number of potential bidders (N) or a continuous instrument (z) shifting opportunity costs of entry, we provide a sharp characterization of the nonparametric restrictions implied by equilibrium bidding. This characterization implies that risk neutrality is nonparametrically testable. In addition, with sufficient variation in both N and z , the AS-RA model primitives are nonparametrically identified (up to a bounded constant) on their equilibrium domains. Finally, we explore new methods for inference in set-identified auction models based on Chen et al. (2018, Econometrica , vol. 86, 1965–2018), as well as novel and fast computational strategies using Mathematical Programming with Equilibrium Constraints. Simulation studies reveal the good finite-sample performance of our inference methods, which can readily be adapted to other set-identified flexible equilibrium models with parameter-dependent support.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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