Accounting for variability in conflict dynamics: A pattern-based predictive model.
Existing models for predicting conflict fatalities frequently produce conservative forecasts that gravitate towards the mean. While these approaches have a low average prediction error, they offer limited insights into temporal variations in conflict-related fatalities. Yet, accounting for variabili...
| Publicado en: | Journal of Peace Research Vol. 62; no. 6; pp. 2052 - 2070 |
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| Autores principales: | , , |
| Formato: | Artículo |
| Publicado: |
Oxford University Press / USA
Nov2025
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |