A model of China's agricultural crisis and famine in 1959–1961.

The Chinese collectivization movement culminated in a famine from 1959–1961 that resulted in up to 30 million deaths. Lin argues that the famine was due to making collective membership mandatory. This turned a repeated Prisoners' Dilemma into a one-shot game with shirk as the dominant action. This p...

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Publicado en:Oxford Economic Papers Vol. 78; no. 3; pp. 799 - 824
Autor principal: McGinty, Matthew
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Jul2026
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: A model of China's agricultural crisis and famine in 1959–1961.
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        au: McGinty, Matthew
        affil: Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI, United States
      su:
        China
        Famines
        Game theory
        Cooperative agriculture
        Coordination games (Mathematics)
        Incentive (Psychology)
        Agrarian distress
        Returns to scale
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          Famines
          Game theory
          China
          Cooperative agriculture
          Coordination games (Mathematics)
          Incentive (Psychology)
          Agrarian distress
          Returns to scale
      keyword:
        C72
        central planning
        collectivization
        copyrightHolder:Oxford University Press
        copyrightYear:2026
        D02
        D70
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        inLanguage:en
        institutions
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        publisher:Oxford University Press
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        C72
        central planning
        collectivization
        copyrightHolder:Oxford University Press
        copyrightYear:2026
        D02
        D70
        famine
        inLanguage:en
        institutions
        non-cooperative games
        P32
        publisher:Oxford University Press
        Q11
        sameAs:https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpag020
      ab: The Chinese collectivization movement culminated in a famine from 1959–1961 that resulted in up to 30 million deaths. Lin argues that the famine was due to making collective membership mandatory. This turned a repeated Prisoners' Dilemma into a one-shot game with shirk as the dominant action. This paper shows that shirking need not be the dominant strategy. In a model with increasing returns or sufficiently small collectives, the prisoners' dilemma is replaced with a coordination game. In this case voluntary collectives may either collapse or flourish, consistent with the historical evidence. This result follows from a theoretical model of effort incentives on collectives when output is equally shared. The model isolates the essential role played by returns to scale and by collective size. While shirking can emerge, it is far from guaranteed. Imposing mandatory participation can lead to a collapse of effort in a previously thriving voluntary collective.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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