Emerging technologies: what's ahead for 2001-2030.
The George Washington University Forecast of Emerging Technologies has compiled a comprehensive forecast of future technologies. The forecast, which was launched at the beginning of the 1990s, has finished four iterations of its Delphi survey—in 1990, 1992, 1994, and 1996. It used various methods,...
| Publicado en: | Futurist Vol. 31; pp. 20 - 29 |
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| Autores principales: | , , |
| Formato: | Artículo |
| Publicado: |
World Future Society
November/December 1997
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=503433058&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 503433058 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00163317 FUT jtl: Futurist issn: 00163317 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: November/December 1997 vid: 31 pid: 436 pub: World Future Society artinfo: ui: 503433058 ppf: 20 ppct: 9 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: C – @attributes: type: P size: 1.9MB tig: atl: Emerging technologies: what's ahead for 2001-2030. aug: au: Halal, William E. Kull, Michael D. Leffmann, Ann su: Technological forecasting sug: subj: Technological forecasting ab: The George Washington University Forecast of Emerging Technologies has compiled a comprehensive forecast of future technologies. The forecast, which was launched at the beginning of the 1990s, has finished four iterations of its Delphi survey—in 1990, 1992, 1994, and 1996. It used various methods, including environmental scanning, trend analysis, Delphi surveys, and scenario building, because using multiple methods rather than a single approach produces more robust, useful estimates. The writer presents the forecast's predictions for technological developments in the periods 2001–10, 2011–20, and 2021–30. pubtype: Periodical doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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