Comparison of forced-choice and subjective probability scales measuring behavioral intentions.
Three surveys compared the accuracy of predictions based on forced-choice and subjective probability scales. The latter produced significantly more accurate election predictions and significantly reduced the percentage of undecided, or “Don't Know” responses, compared to forced-choice scales in all...
| Publicado en: | Psychological Reports Vol. 86; no. 1; pp. 321 - 333 |
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| Autores principales: | , , |
| Formato: | Artículo |
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Ammons Scientific, Ltd.
February 2000
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=507687150&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 507687150 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00332941 PSR jtl: Psychological Reports issn: 00332941 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: February 2000 vid: 86 iid: 1 pid: 726 pub: Ammons Scientific, Ltd. artinfo: ui: 507687150 10.2466/PR0.86.1.321-332 ppf: 321 ppct: 12 formats: tig: atl: Comparison of forced-choice and subjective probability scales measuring behavioral intentions. aug: au: Flannelly, Laura T. Flannelly, Kevin J. McLeod, Malcolm S. su: Election forecasting Voting Social surveys Act psychology sug: subj: Election forecasting Voting Social surveys Act psychology keyword: Social surveys -- Format ab: Three surveys compared the accuracy of predictions based on forced-choice and subjective probability scales. The latter produced significantly more accurate election predictions and significantly reduced the percentage of undecided, or “Don't Know” responses, compared to forced-choice scales in all three surveys. Analysis indicates subjective probability scales decrease sampling error and confirms there is an inherent source of error in traditional forced-choice questions about voting intentions not attributable to sampling error. The results are discussed with respect to (1) sampling and measurement errors in forced-choice and subjective probability scales measuring behavioral intentions, (2) their practical application, and (3) cognitive theory, especially support theory. Reprinted by permission of the publisher, 2000. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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