| Sumario: | In mid March 2005, just weeks before the U.K.'s May 5 election, the polls, almost without exception, put the Labour Party on around 37 percent and the Conservatives on 33 percent or so, both plus or minus a sampling error of 3 percent. The figures point to a comfortable Labour victory, although a second, equally valid, interpretation suggests that the race may be much closer. For one thing, the pollsters have seriously overestimated Labour's share of the vote in the last four elections, despite regular adjustments to their methodology; and for another, the pro-Labour bias that has developed in the electoral system will not necessarily work this time.
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