Why the pundits could be wrong again.
In mid March 2005, just weeks before the U.K.'s May 5 election, the polls, almost without exception, put the Labour Party on around 37 percent and the Conservatives on 33 percent or so, both plus or minus a sampling error of 3 percent. The figures point to a comfortable Labour victory, although a s...
| Publicado en: | New Statesman Vol. 134; pp. 27 - 28 |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
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New Statesman Ltd.
March 21 2005
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=510476967&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 510476967 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 13647431 NSM jtl: New Statesman issn: 13647431 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: March 21 2005 vid: 134 pid: 686 pub: New Statesman Ltd. artinfo: ui: 510476967 ppf: 27 ppct: 1 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P size: 166KB tig: atl: Why the pundits could be wrong again. aug: au: Cowley, Philip su: Elections British politics & government Public opinion polls Public opinion United Kingdom sug: subj: United Kingdom Elections British politics & government Public opinion polls Public opinion ab: In mid March 2005, just weeks before the U.K.'s May 5 election, the polls, almost without exception, put the Labour Party on around 37 percent and the Conservatives on 33 percent or so, both plus or minus a sampling error of 3 percent. The figures point to a comfortable Labour victory, although a second, equally valid, interpretation suggests that the race may be much closer. For one thing, the pollsters have seriously overestimated Labour's share of the vote in the last four elections, despite regular adjustments to their methodology; and for another, the pro-Labour bias that has developed in the electoral system will not necessarily work this time. pubtype: Periodical doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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