A sampling approach to biases in conditional probability judgments: beyond base rate neglect and statistical format.

Conditional probability judgments of rare events are often inflated. Early accounts assumed a general deficit in using statistical base rates. More recent approaches predict improvement when problems are presented in frequency format or refer to natural categories. The present theory focuses or samp...

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Bibliographic Details

Published in:	Journal of Experimental Psychology. General Vol. 129; no. 3; pp. 399 - 419
Main Authors:	Fiedler, Klaus, Brinkmann, Babette, Betsch, Tilmann
Format:	Article
Published:	American Psychological Association September 2000
Subjects:	Human information processing Judgment (Psychology) Probability theory Statistical sampling
Online Access:	View this record in EBSCOhost