Anticipating the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly: An Early Warning Approach to Conflict and Instability Analysis.

The macrostructural factors associated with the conditions that contribute to conflict and country instability at the nation-state level are identified and evaluated. The relationships among different combinations of country macrostructural variables and the likelihood that states will experience a...

Full description

Bibliographic Details

Published in:	Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 46; no. 6; pp. 791 - 812
Main Author:	O'Brien, Sean P.
Format:	Article
Published:	Sage Publications Inc. December 2002
Subjects:	Forecasting War Internal security Social statistics United States. Central Intelligence Agency. State Failure Task Force Political science Methodology
Online Access:	View this record in EBSCOhost