Cover Image
QR Code

The Demise of the Doomsday Argument.

Offers a refutation of the doomsday argument. Creation of the fallacy through a simple thought experiment analyzed in Bayesian terms; Assumption that a living person represents a random sample from the population of all persons who will ever have existed; Criteria for the applicability of time samp...

Full description

Published in:Mind (0026-4423) Vol. 111; no. 441; pp. 37 - 46
Main Author: Sowers Jr., George F.
Format: Article
Published: Oxford University Press / USA Jan2002
Subjects:
Judgment Day
Naturalistic fallacy
Bayesian analysis
Statistical sampling
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
Summary:Offers a refutation of the doomsday argument. Creation of the fallacy through a simple thought experiment analyzed in Bayesian terms; Assumption that a living person represents a random sample from the population of all persons who will ever have existed; Criteria for the applicability of time sampling arguments.